What controls the advance and retreat of these large glaciers during the four long, cool periods?
Scientists understand more about why glaciers advance during cool periods than they do about why large scale cool periods occur, because they have
gathered large quantities of data about the current cool period. Variation in the Earth's orbit through time causes changes in the amount and distribution of sunlight (and
other solar radiation) reaching the Earth's surface. These changes are thought to affect the development of ice sheets.
Although the idea that variation in the Earth's orbit causes glacial-interglacial cycles originated in the mid 1800s, Milutin Milankovitch first
popularized it in about 1920. Although Milankovitch's hypothesis was not widely accepted at first; data collected during the 1970's have generated broad support for
it.
Three orbital parameters are especially important in causing ice sheet waxing and waning:
- Changes in the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit
- Changes in the tilt of the Earth's axis
- The precession of the equinoxes
In combination these factors influence the amount and distribution of solar radiation reaching the Earth. Changes vary with both latitude and
season. Because of the different periodicities of variation for the three factors, the composite variations in solar radiation are very complex.
Although the connections are not obvious and direct, changes in the amount of solar radiation are thought to drive the growth and melting of major
ice sheets. Over the last 750,000 years ice sheets have expanded into the midwestern United States at least 8 major times. The timing of some of these advances is not well
known.
The last glaciation of the midwestern United States had its maximum extent approximately 20,000 years ago. The animals and plants discussed in
this exhibit are the ones that were living in the midwestern U.S. during and just following that glaciation.
Eccentricity
The Earth's orbit around the sun is not a circle, but rather it is an ellipse. The shape of the elliptical orbit, which is
measured by its eccentricity, varies from between one and five percent through time.
The eccentricity affects the difference in the amounts of radiation the Earth's surface receives at aphelion and at perihelion. The effect of the
radiation variation is to change the seasonal contrast in the northern and southern hemispheres. For example, when the orbit is highly elliptical, one hemisphere will have
hot summers and cold winters; the other hemisphere will have warm summers and cool winters. When the orbit is nearly circular, both hemispheres will have similar seasonal
contrasts in temperature.
Although the amount of change in radiation is very small (less than 0.2%), it is apparently extremely important in the expansion and melting of
ice sheets.
The eccentricity of the Earth's orbit varies in a periodic manner. The primary periodicity is approximately 100,000 years.
Tilt
The Earth's axis is tilted with respect to its orbit around the sun. Today the tilt is approximately 23.5 degrees. The tilt varies from
between 21.6 and 24.5 degrees in a periodic manner. A graph of the tilt over the last 750,000 years shows that the dominant period of this variation is approximately
41,000 years.
Changes in the tilt of the Earth's axis cause large changes in the seasonal distribution of radiation at high latitudes and in the length of the
winter dark period at the poles. Changes in tilt have very little effect on low latitudes.
The effects of tilt on the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth are closely linked to the effects of precession. Variation in these two
factors cause radiation changes of up to 15% at high latitude. Radiation variation of this magnitude greatly influences the growth and melting of ice sheets.
Graph of the tilt of the Earth's axis

This graph shows the variation in the tilt of the Earth's axis over the last 750,000 years. The blue line traces the tilt. The orange line shows
today's value for comparison.
Precession of the equinoxes
Twice a year, the equinoxes, the sun is positioned directly over the equator. Currently the equinoxes occur on
approximately March 21 and September 21. However, because the Earth's axis of rotation "wobbles" (like a spinning top), the timing of the equinoxes changes . The change in
the timing of the equinoxes is known as precession.
Although the timing of the equinoxes is not in itself important in determining climate, the timing of the Earth's aphelion and perihelion also
changes. Like the timing of the equinoxes, the timing of the aphelion and perihelion is also affected by the wobble of the axis of rotation.
The changing aphelion and perihelion is important for climate because it affects the seasonal balance of radiation. For example, when perihelion
falls in January the northern hemisphere winter and southern hemisphere summer are slightly warmer than the corresponding seasons in the opposite hemispheres.
The aphelion and perihelion change position on the orbit through a cycle of 360 degrees. The cycle has two periods of approximately 19,000 and
23,000 years. Together these combine to produce a generalized periodicity of about 22,000 years.
The effects of precession on the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth are closely linked to the effects of tilt. Variation in these two
factors cause radiation changes of up to 15% at high latitude. Radiation variation of this magnitude greatly influences the growth and melting of ice sheets.
The Last Ice Age
The last Ice Age started about 70,000 years ago and ended about 10,000 years ago (during the Pleistocene epoch). The Earth
was much colder than it is now; snow accumulated on much of the land, glaciers and ice sheets extended over large areas and the sea levels were lower. These phenomena
changed the surface of the earth, forming lakes, changing the paths of rivers, eroding land, and depositing sand, gravel, and rocks along the glaciers' paths.
Land at the Poles
Antarctica has been located near the South Pole for about the last 300 million years! Regardless of temperatures, Earth's
poles always have been colder than other locations on the globe. And they always have been subject to seasonal fluctuations in light and radiation. When a land mass lies
in a polar position it forms an ideal spot to start an ice sheet, if the global temperatures are cool enough to support ice at the pole. What has added to the glaciation
of Antarctica is the isolation of the continent from other land masses. The most recent phase of glaciation on Antarctica began about 40 million years ago as the other
continents slowly separated from Antarctica. This allowed the Antarctic Circumpolar Current to flow undeflected around Antarctica, isolating it from warmer water
masses.
Shift of the plates away from Antarctica (modified from Lawver et al., 1992). During the Cretaceous (110 million years ago). During the Oligocene
(30 million years ago). Through time, Antarctica has been left behind at the South Pole and the ocean currents around the Southern Continent have strengthened to keep
warmer waters from intruding. This has helped to maintain ice sheets on the continent for the last 40 million years.
Tectonic Events
Tectonic changes can cause changes in atmospheric circulation and oceanic circulation. These changes take place on time
scales of millions of years. A tectonic shift is believed to have happened about 3.5 million years ago, when the Isthmus of Panama formed. The Isthmus cut off east-west
ocean current circulation. This strengthened the Gulf Stream, which then delivered warmer water to the Northern Hemisphere. This warm water source increased precipitation
over the North Pole region, resulting in the initiation of ice sheets in that region.
Change in circulation. Before the formation of the Isthmus of Panama there was an east-west component of circulation, and the Gulf Stream was not
as strong. Following formation of the Isthmus the Gulf Stream became stronger and carried warmer water closer to the pole. This caused an increase in
precipitation.
Earth's Orbit
The Antarctic Ice Sheet has been in place for the last 40 million years, but it has grown and diminished in size several times
since it's initiation. Likewise, the ice sheets of the Northern Hemisphere have grown and dispersed several times in the last 3.5 million years. Reorganization of Earth's
surface components and location of the continents can set the stage for ice sheets. But what has caused the fluctuations of ice in the Northern Hemisphere and
Antarctica?
Many researchers believe that fluctuations in the volume of ice on Earth are caused by slight changes in the path of Earth around the sun. This
causes a redistribution of solar radiation striking Earth's surface. The amount of incoming radiation has not changed. The changes in Earth's path can be broken into three
components:
Orbital Eccentricity - the path of Earth around the sun changes from being nearly circular, with the perihelion and aphelion being equal
distance, to being more elliptical, with a difference in the perihelion and aphelion. These changes take place on a time scale of about 100,000 years, and probably are
cause by the gravitational pull of Earth by other planets.
Inclination - the tilt of Earth's axis changes through time. If the tilt is increased, there is an increase in the duration of winter darkness
at the poles. The time scale for changes in tilt is about 41,000 years. Changes in axial tilt are most important at the poles.
Precession of the Equinoxes - as Earth moves around the sun, it's path wobbles slightly because of the pull of the sun and the moon. This means
that the poles are tilted toward the sun at different positions in the orbit. The Northern Hemisphere winter has not always occurred at aphelion, when Earth is farthest
in its orbit from the sun. At times in the past, the Northern Hemisphere has tilted toward the sun at perihelion.
Changes in Earth's orbit: orbital eccentricity, inclination or tilt, precession of the equinoxes (modified from Dawson, 1991).
These slight
changes in Earth's journey around the sun combine to cause changes in the distribution of solar radiation on Earth's surface. During times of the most elliptical path of
Earth around the sun, the difference in winter and summer in the Northern Hemisphere are increased and the extremes in the seasons in the Southern Hemisphere are
decreased. This could trigger the development of ice sheets close to the North Pole. When tilt of Earth's axis is greatest, there is an increase in the north-south
atmospheric circulation, which causes an increase in the delivery of precipitation toward both poles.
The predictable changes in Earth's orbit may act in concert with tectonic changes and the distribution of land over the
globe. These shorter-time scale changes in orbit, which cause changes in the distribution of solar radiation across the globe, may help us understand why ice sheets have
fluctuated in size in Antarctica during the last 40 million years, and why ice sheets have grown and decayed so many times in the Northern Hemisphere in the last 3.5
million years!
Why were there four long, generally cool periods during which continent-sized glaciers advanced and retreated?
Although scientists cannot answer this question with certainty, they know that a number of factors interact to produce conditions favoring the
formation of ice sheets. Some of these factors include changing continental positions uplift of continental blocks reduction of CO2 in the atmosphere
Changes in the Earth's orbit
Long ice age intervals did not just suddenly occur. Instead, they seem to have been the culmination of even longer periods of worldwide climatic
cooling. This cooling took place for tens of millions of years before the beginning of glaciation.
Once ice sheets start to grow, they probably contribute to their own further development. This positive feedback occurs because ice sheets reflect
more sunlight back into space than does ground not covered by ice. The reflected sunlight would otherwise warm the Earth's surface. Consequently, the presence of ice
sheets may lead to more cooling and continued development of ice sheets.
Changing Continental Positions
Plate tectonics is an important process influencing when ice ages occur, and the position of the continents is probably one of the most important
factors controlling long periods of multiple glaciations. The presence of large land masses at high latitude appears to be a prerequisite for the development of extensive
ice sheets,because the large accumulations of ice associated with ice sheets cannot form over the ocean.
During the current ice age, which began slightly less than 3 million years ago, several large land masses have been at high latitude. These
include Antarctica, much of North America and much of Eurasia. This continental configuration led to extensive glaciation of both North America and Eurasia.
During the ice age that occurred in the Pennsylvanian and Permian, the southern portion of the supercontinent Pangea was at the south pole. The
result was extensive glaciation of what is now Africa, South America, India, Antarctica, Australia, and the Arabian peninsula.
The position of the continents during the Late Proterozoic glaciation (around 700 million years ago) is not well-known. Evidence of glaciers
exists from North America, Australia, and Africa.
Uplift of continental blocks
Plate tectonics probably contributes to the development of long periods with many glaciations in a second, more subtle way. Plate movements
sometimes cause uplift of large continental blocks. Major uplift can cause profound changes in the global oceanic and atmospheric circulation patterns. Changing
circulation patterns cause climate change. Some scientists hypthesize that climatic changes cause by uplift are critical to the development of ice ages.
Over the past 15 million years, the continents have risen about 600 meters (2000 feet) on average. The uplift of the Himalayas and the Tibetian
Plateau probably contributed to the initiation of the current cool period.
Similar tectonic uplift appears to have been involved in the three other long, ice age intervals.
Reduction of CO2 in the atmsophere
A general reduction in amount of CO2 in the atmosphere may contribute to the development of ice ages. Carbon dioxide is an important greenhouse
gas. Decreases in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere may lead to global cooling.
Many processes can cause a long-term decrease in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. These processes include many complex interactions among
organisms, ocean currents, erosion, and volcanism. Important relationships exist between ice ages and the composition of the atmosphere; however, many scientists are
unsure whether the changes in atmosphere cause cool periods or whether cool periods cause atmospheric changes. Also, many scientists are not sure the magnitude of past CO2
changes was large enough to initiate ice ages.
Changes in the Earth's orbit
The Earth's orbit varies through time. Important parameters that vary include the eccentricity of the orbit around the sun, the tilt of the
Earth's axis, and the direction the north pole points. Variation in these three factors changes the amount and distribution of incoming solar radiation. Variations in the
distribution of solar radiation affects and initiates glaciations.
However, the variation of the orbital parameters seems to be on too short a time scale to explain the timing of the long, cool intervals with many
glaciations. Variations in orbital factors are probably more important in controlling the advance and retreat of large glaciers during the four long, cool periods than
they are for controlling the larger-scale patterns.
1) What causes the long-term changes leading to an ice age?
Factors that are thought to play important roles in long-term changes in Earth's climate over millions or tens of millions of years are
Changes in the positions of the continents
Variations in the energy output of the sun
Changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration
Changes in volcanic activity
Influence of the biosphere
2) What causes the glacial cycles within an ice age?
During an ice age, the shorter-term cycles of advancing and retreating glaciers are thought to be driven by regular, predictable variations in
Earth's orbit and orientation relative to the Sun.
How do we know that ice ages occurred?
The idea that an ice age had occurred in the past was first proposed by Louis Agassiz in the early 1800s. Agassiz noted that the slow action of
mountain glaciers in Switzerland produced certain kinds of features in the surrounding landscape. These include glacial till and erratics, rock striations and loess. He
also noted that these features sometimes occurred in areas far from the mountains, where no glaciers existed. Based on these observations, Agassiz came up with the idea
that extensive glaciers had existed in the past.
Scientific progress since the time of Agassiz has not only confirmed his idea, but has also begun to reveal a much more detailed picture of what
conditions were like during the last ice age. To obtain a more detailed picture of the last ice age, scientists study natural recorders of climate change, such as fossil
pollen, ancient coral reefs, ocean sediments and ice cores.
If a planetary body was to come into contact with the
orbital motion of earth or Mobius
Ice ages happen for various reasons two being the orbit and tilt of the planet. But the question is if we came into contact with another planet
would that bring about an ice age. This reason why I asked this is the planet Nibiru comes into orbits very close to ours and Mobius's orbit patten ever 3600 years. But
because of our colission with Orpheus millions of years ago and the spilting of the two planets and the reforming of both earth and the new planetary body mobius our
sister planet and the newly formed moon our orbit in slightly of from what in was in the days when Orpheus was our planetary neighbour how the big question is if Nibiru
was to pass the earth or mobius, would the pull of the planetary body be enough to tilt the earths or mobius Axis the answer to this would be yes the drag would tilt the
planetary body to what degree is not known at this time but a tilt of that magitude would through the planetary body into a cataclysmic event that would because the next
ice age on earth or mobis.
The image below show the possible affect of Nibiru passing
closely by the Earth

The same would apply for Mobius if it was to be near Nibiru when it entered into our orbitational flow other times in the cycle of Nibiru orbit
around the sun neather planet would be near Nibiru as it passed through the inner planets as it made it way around the sun. The only question left is where is earth and
mobius in there orbitational cycles in relation to nibiru orbitational cycle ?